Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 63.474154 71.053390 78.896759 87.598135 96.959571 106.707168 117.602775
2025-02-16 53.342699 64.653010 76.992700 91.360639 107.535117 125.088118 145.483405
2025-02-23 46.563222 59.707482 74.584520 92.478584 113.225005 136.335617 163.836071
2025-03-02 39.996741 54.090769 70.596756 91.042126 115.371735 143.093170 176.754211
2025-03-09 35.127825 49.880153 67.697814 90.346746 117.910598 149.923828 189.456978
2025-03-16 31.380320 46.638460 65.598499 90.269386 120.897198 157.067281 202.385960
2025-03-23 29.475793 45.535618 65.972753 93.081213 127.280876 168.210222 220.081747
2025-03-30 26.985029 43.411831 64.837825 93.818684 130.975139 176.033397 233.782014
2025-04-06 24.774022 41.463110 63.755232 94.471386 134.451058 183.527355 247.075036
2025-04-13 21.741334 38.096387 60.545854 92.130275 133.933310 185.937818 254.032293
2025-04-20 20.823335 37.699602 61.312974 95.017679 140.139666 196.782466 271.507170
2025-04-27 19.567483 36.690613 61.142699 96.576430 144.578692 205.399603 286.251622
2025-05-04 18.053378 35.208530 60.265938 97.181457 147.835003 212.656306 299.528565
2025-05-11 17.465419 35.132793 61.396665 100.583928 154.880501 224.886873 319.280844
2025-05-18 16.362210 34.131780 61.093614 101.912490 159.098625 233.456894 334.405355
2025-05-25 14.610817 31.911258 58.840572 100.346850 159.282751 236.701133 342.665818
2025-06-01 13.228510 30.188030 57.229876 99.607032 160.524409 241.288840 352.649569
2025-06-08 12.120989 28.843109 56.117913 99.523046 162.626150 246.994782 364.101060
2025-06-15 11.769989 28.830152 57.091210 102.535794 169.104736 258.606120 383.384415
2025-06-22 10.983697 27.943942 56.610453 103.325559 172.416054 265.966442 397.113556
2025-06-29 10.240545 27.071557 56.097508 104.024494 175.576051 273.125987 410.613422
2025-07-06 8.975778 25.053350 53.570411 101.517146 174.019301 273.786131 415.412094
2025-07-13 8.780757 25.169556 54.636321 104.609398 180.633709 285.703735 435.359625